Victor Dergunov warns that the S&P 500 may experience a near-term pullback and longer-term correction due to an unsustainable AI-driven earnings bubble fueled by hyperscaler spending. Additional risks include rising U.S. debt, hawkish Federal Reserve policies, and geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, which could impact market liquidity and global growth. Dergunov maintains a cautious outlook with a wide year-end S&P 500 target range of 7,200 to 7,700 and anticipates a potential market meltdown within 2 to 5 years as the AI bubble unwinds.
Chinese AI startup Moonshot AI's rapid rise with its open-weight Kimi K3 model, which competes with US models, has sparked debate over the practice of AI distillation. Distillation uses outputs from advanced AI models to train others, raising concern...
Yields on bonds climbed this week after Alphabet increased its capital expenditure forecast for AI development, sparking fears that other major tech companies like Amazon and Meta will follow. Fixed-income investors are demanding higher credit spread...
Shares of major tech companies, including Alphabet and Tesla, dropped sharply after both announced increased capital expenditures focused on AI infrastructure. Alphabet plans to spend $200 billion this year, up from $190 billion, aiming to enhance AI...
Leading AI-focused tech giants like Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, Oracle, and Microsoft have seen their stock prices decline since April 2023, with Oracle dropping over 31%. The main reason is soaring capital expenditure (capex) on AI development, which is...
President Donald Trump announced a trade investigation into the European Union following the EU's $1 billion fine on Google for allegedly prioritizing its own services. The probe aims to cancel these hefty fines against US tech giants and could lead ...
