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Prolonged Iran war is the market’s unexpected risk, says BNY strategist

Market News
05 Nov 2026, 12:20 WIB
Market Watch
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Bearish
Prolonged Iran war is the market’s unexpected risk, says BNY strategist

Alicia Levine, head of investment strategy at BNY's wealth management, warns that markets have largely priced in an end to the war in Iran. She calls a prolonged conflict a 'black swan' event, meaning it is an unexpected risk that could severely impact markets. Levine suggests that investors may be underestimating the possibility that the war could continue longer than expected, which would worsen market conditions.

The strategist's warning on a prolonged war in Iran is presented here with Energy sector market data as context. For readers following Energy stocks, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Nov 05, 2026 16:11 WIB: Out of 79 priced Energy-sector US stocks, 34 rose and 39 fell today. Notable movers include PR at USD 21.99 with a -1.96% change, YPF at USD 40.90 down 1.71%, and LEU at USD 91.10 down 1.60%, with LEU showing a Pluang order activity of 42% Sell and 58% Buy. The most notable figure is LEU's typical hold time on Pluang of 36 days.

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