Traders have invested $7 billion into the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) ahead of a Federal Reserve rate hike decision, hoping for a "jackpot mode" scenario where long-term yields drop significantly. This influx comes despite TLT's 35% loss over the past five years. The bet hinges on the idea that a hawkish rate hike could paradoxically lower long-term yields, making TLT profitable. Investors are closely watching the 30-year Treasury yield for validation of this strategy.
While traders are betting big on TLT, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is trading at $81.03 on Pluang, as of Sep 16, 2026 21:02 WIB. It has seen a 1-day change of +0.39%. Pluang data shows strong buying interest, with 95% of order activity for TLT being buy orders.
The recent selloff in the bond market, especially in short-term bonds, is considered excessive given limited term premium and expectations of three 25 basis point rate hikes by 2027. Despite higher nominal growth, persistent inflation, and the Fed's ...
In a record-setting auction on October 7, 2026, foreign buyers (indirect bidders) purchased 80.34% of $39 billion in 10-year U.S. Treasury notes, while primary dealers took only 2.54%, the lowest ever. The notes cleared at a yield of 5.300%, near a 2...
Options trading in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) surged with heavy call buying, signaling some traders expect a bottom in the recent U.S. Treasury bond sell-off. A notable buyer purchased large volumes of calls expiring in October, ant...
At its September meeting, the Federal Reserve unanimously voted to raise interest rates by 0.25%, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. Most Fed officials now expect at least one more rate hike before the end of 2026, influenced by strong AI-driv...
