The market currently reflects expectations of continuity rather than fragility, with leverage levels near extremes and low savings rates offering little protection. Fiscal support continues but at increasing costs and diminishing effectiveness. Valuations assume stability, yet volatility pricing suggests complacency, creating an asymmetric risk environment where downside risks are greater than potential gains. This setup warns investors of heightened vulnerability despite seemingly stable market conditions.
The S&P 500 closed June down 1.06%, maintaining a bullish quarterly pattern but showing signs of consolidation and potential reversal risk. Analyst Andrew McElroy remains skeptical about a sustained breakout above 7620 in Q3, expecting the index to e...
IKIGAI Trading Academy, led by Qamar Zaman, has released Flight Path, a market-structure projection tool for SPX and SPY day traders. The tool helps traders plan trades by mapping bullish and bearish paths based on market structure before the open, e...
Wall Street ended the holiday-shortened week higher, driven by optimism over a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut by year-end despite weaker-than-expected June jobs data. Technology stocks rebounded early in the week amid easing U.S.-Iran te...
In the first half of 2026, U.S.-listed ETFs attracted a record $560 billion in inflows during Q2 alone, setting a new high for any three-month period. This surge was led by low-cost core index ETFs like the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, alongside strong ...
The projected 27% earnings growth for the S&P 500 is largely illusory, as it stems from internal money transfers, inflation, and debt-financed investments rather than genuine profit expansion. Inflation alone may contribute 4%–5% of this growth, with...
