
The S&P 500 has surpassed expected rebound targets but now shows signs of exhaustion, indicated by a divergence in market breadth where fewer stocks are participating in the rally. Elliott Wave analysis suggests the current upward move may be a terminal wave, signaling a potential reversal. Despite seasonal patterns usually supporting gains around mid-April, the index ignored this window and is now at risk of a significant decline, possibly over 1000 points. Investors should monitor for exhaustion signals to manage risk amid uncertain market conditions.