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Tesla shares fall 25% in July but analyst sees 58% upside with cautious optimism on new tech and demand.

Analyst Insights
03 Aug 2026
Finbold
View Source
Bullish
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Tesla's stock dropped over 25% in July 2026 after its Q2 earnings missed expectations, but analyst Stephen Gengaro from Stifel Nicolaus remains cautiously optimistic. He kept a Buy rating but lowered the 12-month price target to $491 from $508, suggesting a potential 57.77% upside from the current $311.21 price. Despite earnings setbacks, Tesla showed record deliveries and strong progress in Full Self-Driving and Robotaxi technology, with demand expected to rise following the Model YL launch and a large order backlog. Overall, Wall Street shows mixed sentiment with an average Hold rating and a lower 12-month target of $382.65 from 28 analysts, indicating no immediate bull rally is expected.

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