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Bitcoin volatility drops in 2026 but extreme price swings occur more often than in 2018 bear market

Market News
10 Oct 2026
CrowdFundInsider
View Source
Neutral
Bitcoin volatility drops in 2026 but extreme price swings occur more often than in 2018 bear market

In 2026, Bitcoin's overall volatility has decreased compared to 2018, yet it has experienced more frequent extreme price moves, with 10 '3-sigma' trading days through early October versus 8 in all of 2018. Despite lower average volatility, Bitcoin remains prone to sudden large price swings, influenced by macroeconomic shocks and derivatives market positioning. After peaking near $126,200 in late 2025, Bitcoin fell about 53-54% by mid-2026 but has shown a more moderate cycle decline than past crashes. Recent price action around the $82,800 level and significant long liquidations over $1 billion highlight ongoing market sensitivity. The path forward depends on whether Bitcoin can reclaim $82,800 amid ETF outflows and external economic pressures, which will indicate if the recent dip is temporary or a deeper correction.

Bitcoin trades at Rp1.483.941.126 on Pluang, showing a modest 0.25% gain in the last day. As of Oct 10, 2026 22:41 WIB, the market cap stands at Rp29.824,93 trillion with a 70% buy order activity, indicating sustained investor interest despite recent volatility.

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