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Bitcoin sees more extreme daily moves in 2026 than 2018 despite lower overall volatility

Market News
10 Oct 2026
Tokenpost
View Source
Neutral
Bitcoin sees more extreme daily moves in 2026 than 2018 despite lower overall volatility

In 2026, Bitcoin has experienced 10 unusually large daily price moves of at least three standard deviations through October 9, surpassing the eight such moves recorded during the entire 2018 bear market. This is notable because overall annualized volatility in 2026 is about 46%, nearly half of the 84% seen in 2018. The pattern shows smaller average price swings but more frequent extreme moves, challenging risk models that rely on recent volatility to predict losses. New products like Hyperliquid's Bitcoin implied-volatility index contract offer traders more tools to manage and speculate on these price swings.

Bitcoin's 2026 volatility shows 10 extreme daily moves of at least three standard deviations through October 9, surpassing the 2018 bear market's eight such moves despite a lower annualized volatility of about 46% versus 84% in 2018. For readers following cryptocurrency markets, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026 12:51 WIB: out of 50 major cryptocurrencies, 36 rose and 13 fell today. Notable movers include ATOM at Rp36.370 (+7.38%), AXS at Rp22.412 (+6.94%), and ADA at Rp4.527 (+6.27%).

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