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Bitcoin volatility may rise before U.S. midterms but past data shows mixed, unpredictable market reactions.

Market News
18 Oct 2026, 21:50 WIB
Blockonomi
View Source
Neutral
Bitcoin volatility may rise before U.S. midterms but past data shows mixed, unpredictable market reactions.

Bitcoin volatility is expected to increase ahead of the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, but historical data shows mixed results with no clear trend. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surged 21.5% recently, signaling higher market fear, while Bitcoin remained around $80,000 with some leveraged long positions near liquidation risk. Past midterm cycles show Bitcoin returns have been both positive and negative, indicating uncertainty for investors. Market factors like rates, earnings, and global events may influence outcomes more than the election itself, leaving Bitcoin's near-term direction unpredictable.

Bitcoin volatility and election risks are in focus, with the Cboe Volatility Index recently surging 21.5%. For readers following cryptocurrency markets, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026 01:41 WIB: out of 50 major cryptocurrencies, 4 rose and 45 fell today. Notable movers include BAL (Balancer) up 11.14% at Rp16.297 with a typical hold time of 85 days, BAT (Basic Attention Token) down 8.86% at Rp3.052 with 93% buy order activity and a typical hold time of 93 days, and EOS (EOS.IO) up 8.13% at Rp12.649 with a typical hold time of 87 days.

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