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Marvell Technology upgraded to Buy with 37-47% upside after strong guidance and Lumentum deal.

Analyst Insights
07 Nov 2026, 13:01 WIB
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
Marvell Technology upgraded to Buy with 37-47% upside after strong guidance and Lumentum deal.

Marvell Technology has been upgraded to a Buy rating with a new fair value of $187.35 standalone and $199.48 including its acquisition of Lumentum. The upgrade follows improved fiscal guidance for 2028 and 2031, along with a significant contract win for custom silicon with Google, which offsets previous concerns about market share. The Lumentum acquisition is expected to add value if the stock exchange ratio exceeds 4.5 times Marvell shares, and risks related to digital signal processing displacement are partially mitigated by Lumentum's laser business. Despite trading at a premium to peers, valuation models support a potential 37-47% upside from current prices.

Marvell Technology (MRVL) is trading at USD 141.20 on Pluang as of Nov 07, 2026 17:51 WIB, up 5.73% for the day but still well below its 52-week high of USD 316.43. In contrast, Lumentum (LITE) is priced at USD 538.59, also up 5.67%, yet far from its 52-week peak of USD 1.13K. Despite Marvell's premium valuation noted in the news, its market cap of USD 127.05B is nearly three times that of Lumentum's USD 46.22B, highlighting different scales and investor interest in these technology stocks on Pluang.

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