FeesSafety
Pluang+

S&P 500 dividend-to-Treasury yield ratio signals potential market downturn soon.

Market News
10 Nov 2026, 20:13 WIB
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
S&P 500 dividend-to-Treasury yield ratio signals potential market downturn soon.

The ratio of the S&P 500 dividend yield to the 10-year Treasury yield recently shifted from negative to positive, a historical indicator that often precedes major equity market downturns. This inflection, observed in October 2026, suggests a possible early warning for a decline in the S&P 500 within one to three months if the ratio maintains its positive trend. Capital tends to move into bonds before equity weakness becomes visible, making this shift less obvious in stock price charts. However, if the ratio reverses back, the signal for a downturn would be negated, so investors should watch this indicator closely for confirmation.

The ratio of the S&P 500 dividend yield to the US 10-year Treasury yield recently turned positive, signaling potential capital rotation. For readers following US stocks, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026 00:02 WIB: out of 150 priced US stocks tradable on Pluang, 34 rose and 115 fell today. Notable movers include Barrick Gold Corp (USD 39.69, -6.10%, 9% Sell / 91% Buy), Kinross Gold Corporation (USD 21.53, -5.78%, 3% Sell / 97% Buy), and Novavax Inc (USD 10.27, -5.69%, 100% Sell / 0% Buy).

More News

EssilorLuxottica reports total shares and voting rights as of October 31, 2026, with a 31% voting cap per shareholder.

EssilorLuxottica reports total shares and voting rights as of October 31, 2026, with a 31% voting cap per shareholder.

As of October 31, 2026, EssilorLuxottica disclosed its total number of shares at 464,247,548 and actual voting rights at 458,376,127 after deducting treasury shares. The company enforces a 31% voting rights cap per shareholder, as outlined in its sta...

Company Fundamentals
Neutral
1 hour ago
EssilorLuxottica reports 464 million shares and voting rights as of October 31, 2026, with a 31% voting cap.

EssilorLuxottica reports 464 million shares and voting rights as of October 31, 2026, with a 31% voting cap.

EssilorLuxottica disclosed its share capital and voting rights as of October 31, 2026, reporting 464,247,548 shares outstanding and 458,376,127 real voting rights excluding treasury shares. The company applies a 31% cap on voting rights per sharehold...

Company Fundamentals
Neutral
1 hour ago
Peptide therapeutics market to hit $229B by 2036, driven by GLP-1, oncology, and generics growth

Peptide therapeutics market to hit $229B by 2036, driven by GLP-1, oncology, and generics growth

The global peptide therapeutics market is projected to grow from $112.2 billion in 2026 to $229.32 billion by 2036, at a CAGR of 7.4%. Growth is fueled by expanding use of GLP-1 and incretin therapies, advances in peptide engineering, new oncology ap...

Bullish
2 hours ago
Science 37 named BioSpace 2027 Best Place to Work for innovative clinical trial model and culture

Science 37 named BioSpace 2027 Best Place to Work for innovative clinical trial model and culture

Science 37, a direct-to-patient clinical research site, was named a BioSpace 2027 Best Place to Work, recognized for its innovative culture and commitment to clinical quality. The company’s model brings clinical trials to patients' homes, improving a...

Others
Bullish
2 hours ago
New AI tool Book Leopard cuts Amazon book marketing costs to under $50 with fast, quality covers and ads.

New AI tool Book Leopard cuts Amazon book marketing costs to under $50 with fast, quality covers and ads.

Book Leopard, a new AI software, enables authors and publishers to create professional-quality Amazon book marketing materials in seconds for a one-time fee of $49, drastically reducing costs from over $1,000 and weeks of waiting. The tool generates ...

Others
Bullish
3 hours ago
banner-footerbanner-footer

Invest & Trade with
#1 Award-Winning Investment Super App