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Market sees 14% chance of Fed rate hike after September inflation data.

Market News
16 Oct 2026
Tokenpost
View Source
Neutral
Market sees 14% chance of Fed rate hike after September inflation data.

Bitcoin closed at $81,524 on Oct. 16 as Polymarket's Federal Reserve decision market showed a 14% chance of a quarter-point rate hike at the Fed's upcoming Oct. 27-28 meeting. This sentiment follows September inflation data showing a 0.6% monthly rise in the Consumer Price Index and a 1.3% increase in the producer price index, the largest monthly gain since March 2022. The Fed last raised rates by 25 basis points in September to a 3.75%-4.00% range. Investors are closely watching inflation trends ahead of the Fed's next policy decision.

Polymarket's pricing of a 14% chance for an October Fed rate hike provides context for cryptocurrency market activity on Pluang as of Oct 17, 2026 09:21 WIB. Among 50 major cryptocurrencies, only 13 rose while 36 fell. Notably, BAL (Balancer) gained 11.14% to Rp16.297, contrasting with sharp declines in SXP (Solar) at -46.27% to Rp37 and ZIL (Zilliqa) at -28.41% to Rp43, despite ZIL's 100% buy order activity and longer typical hold time of 133 days compared to BAL's 85 days and SXP's 94 days.

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