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TSMC outpaces ASML in growth and valuation for next 5 years despite risks in Taiwan Strait and China exposure.

Market News
09 Oct 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Bullish
TSMC outpaces ASML in growth and valuation for next 5 years despite risks in Taiwan Strait and China exposure.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) and ASML are key players in the AI semiconductor supply chain, with TSMC making chips and ASML producing the machines that print them. TSMC reported strong revenue growth of 54.6% year-over-year in September and expects continued growth driven by AI and high-performance computing wafers, despite margin pressure from ramping 2nm technology. ASML, while holding a monopoly on EUV machines and raising its revenue guidance, faces risks from China export controls and uneven orders. TSMC's aggressive revenue growth target of about 25% annually through 2029, combined with a lower valuation multiple, positions it better for long-term gains despite geopolitical risks around the Taiwan Strait. Investors should watch TSMC's upcoming earnings and margin trends as well as ASML's progress on high-end EUV technology for Intel.

As of Oct 10, 2026 00:02 WIB, TSMC trades at USD 450.46, closer to its 52-week high of USD 485.80 than its low of USD 275.06, while ASML is priced at USD 1,781.34, also nearer its 52-week high of USD 1.99K compared to its low of USD 936.19. TSMC shows a 1-day decline of 1.64%, contrasting with ASML's 0.65% gain. On Pluang, TSMC sees stronger buy interest with 64% of orders to buy versus 57% for ASML, reflecting differing investor sentiment despite ASML's higher share price and market cap of $701.52B compared to TSMC's $2.07T.

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