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Fed likely to pause rate hikes after strong jobs and core-PCE data; December hike still possible.

Market News
05 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
Fed likely to pause rate hikes after strong jobs and core-PCE data; December hike still possible.

Recent core-PCE inflation and jobs data suggest the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes soon, reducing market uncertainty. The probability of a rate hike in October has dropped below 20%, though December still looks likely for an increase. The upcoming earnings season, especially from major tech and AI companies, could drive market gains and sector rotation. The analyst maintains a positive outlook for the S&P 500, targeting 8,200-8,500 by early 2027, favoring high-quality tech and beaten-down sectors.

The recent market focus on rates and nonfarm payrolls comes as 85 of 150 priced US stocks on Pluang rose today, while 65 fell. Notable movers include Halliburton Company (HAL) with a 3.61% gain, GameStop Corp. (GME) up 3.48%, and Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY) down 3.87%. This snapshot is as of Oct 05, 2026 22:52 WIB.

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