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S&P 500 shows dot-com bubble-like risks with high valuation and narrow rally in tech and energy sectors.

Market News
05 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
S&P 500 shows dot-com bubble-like risks with high valuation and narrow rally in tech and energy sectors.

The S&P 500 currently exhibits a high CAPE valuation of 41x and a market concentration reminiscent of the dot-com bubble peak, with the rally primarily driven by tech and energy sectors. This narrow market breadth raises systemic risk concerns similar to those seen in the late 1990s. Recommended strategies include investing in oil via the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), holding treasury bonds for yield and liquidity, and using put options for hedging. These insights come from Envision Research, highlighting the importance of cautious asset allocation in today's market environment.

As of Oct 06, 2026 03:33 WIB, the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) is trading at USD 63.47 on Pluang, showing a 1-day gain of 0.83%. Market participants on Pluang predominantly favor buying XLE, with 97% of order activity leaning towards purchases and a typical hold time of 67 days. This strong interest in energy aligns with the article's mention of the sector's role in the current market rally.

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