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Analysts cut Vale price targets amid iron ore market uncertainty and rising costs.

Analyst Insights
07 Oct 2026
Tony Dante
View Source
Bearish
Analysts cut Vale price targets amid iron ore market uncertainty and rising costs.

Several analysts including Morgan Stanley, Scotiabank, and Wells Fargo have lowered their price targets for Vale due to rising all-in costs and volatile iron ore prices. Despite the stock trading below these new targets, indicating potential upside, risks remain significant. Growth opportunities exist in pellets, briquettes, and base metals, but near-term margins could be 33% lower than earlier estimates. The consensus rating remains "Hold" with an average 12-month target of $16.04, reflecting cautious optimism amid market challenges.

Vale shares are trading at USD 13.75 on Pluang as of Oct 08, 2026 00:52 WIB, down 2.34% in the past day. The stock's market cap stands at $59.90 billion, reflecting its significant size in the basic materials sector. Pluang data shows a strong sell sentiment with 82% of orders being sell, indicating cautious investor behavior amid the risks highlighted by analysts.

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