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Prediction markets give Bitcoin just a 27% chance to hit $100K before 2027 ends.

Market News
13 Oct 2026
Bitcoin
View Source
Neutral
Prediction markets give Bitcoin just a 27% chance to hit $100K before 2027 ends.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi show skepticism about Bitcoin reaching $100,000 before 2027. Polymarket assigns only a 27% probability for Bitcoin to hit $100K this year, with a stronger likelihood of a drop toward $80,000. Kalshi’s October forecast is $87,000, and its year-end projection is around $83,554. While longer-term odds improve, with a 70% chance by the end of 2027, traders currently expect Bitcoin’s six-figure comeback to be delayed beyond this year.

Bitcoin's market cap on Pluang stands at Rp30.014,67 trillion as of October 14, 2026, 06:41 WIB, with a 24-hour trading volume of Rp578,58 trillion. The price is Rp1.491.129.701, showing a 1.66% increase in the last day. Despite prediction markets assigning just a 27% chance of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 this year, Pluang data shows steady trading activity with a slight price gain and a balanced order flow of 54% buy and 46% sell.

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Markets see higher odds for Bitcoin falling below $80K than reaching $92.5K in October 2026

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