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Polymarket traders give Bitcoin just 21% chance to hit $70K in July despite strong ETF inflows.

Market News
03 Jul 2026
Bitcoin
View Source
Neutral
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Polymarket traders currently assign only a 21% probability that Bitcoin will reach $70,000 by the end of July, with the cryptocurrency trading near $61,600. While traders expect a partial recovery, reflected in a 63% chance for Bitcoin to hit $65,000, confidence fades for higher targets above $70,000. This cautious outlook persists despite a strong rebound in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw $221.7 million inflows—the largest daily intake since early May—signaling renewed institutional interest. Upcoming regulatory developments like the Senate's Clarity Act and continued ETF inflows could shift market sentiment and affect these odds.

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