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Nike shares hit 12-year low amid margin pressure and risk of dividend cut

Market News
08 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
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Bearish
Nike shares hit 12-year low amid margin pressure and risk of dividend cut

Nike's stock has fallen 50% to a 12-year low, yet remains overvalued with a forward P/E of 22.36x. The company faces ongoing margin compression, declining sales, and a free cash flow payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising concerns about a potential dividend cut within 6 to 12 months. Competitive pressures from brands like adidas and Deckers threaten Nike's footwear market share, with a turnaround expected only in 24 to 36 months. Investors should be cautious as macroeconomic headwinds and weak fundamentals could push the stock price down toward $30.

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