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Nike stock falls 41.7% YTD amid weak outlook and BMO's Underperform rating

Analyst Insights
22 Oct 2026
Andrew Wynn
View Source
Bearish
Nike stock falls 41.7% YTD amid weak outlook and BMO's Underperform rating

Nike's stock has dropped 41.7% year-to-date and 76.5% over five years, prompting BMO Capital to maintain an Underperform rating. Despite a brief 5% single-day gain due to a market shift towards consumer stocks, Nike faces a challenging fiscal 2027 outlook with expected sales declines driven by changing consumer preferences, limited innovation, and distribution changes. First-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue fell 4% to $11.2 billion, and net income dropped 2% to $712 million, with Greater China sales down 22%. Investors remain cautious as the company navigates these headwinds.

Following the challenging outlook and recent sales declines highlighted for Nike, the stock trades at USD 37.38 on Pluang as of Oct 22, 2026 20:31 WIB, down 0.40% for the day. The market cap stands at $55.74 billion, with the stock near its 52-week low of $33.87. Investor activity on Pluang shows a slight tilt towards selling, with 55% of orders to sell and 45% to buy, reflecting cautious sentiment.

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