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Nike faces worsening fundamentals with shrinking revenue and a bleak FY27 outlook.

Company Fundamentals
01 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
Nike faces worsening fundamentals with shrinking revenue and a bleak FY27 outlook.

Nike's financial outlook for fiscal year 2027 is deteriorating, marked by shrinking revenue, a 22% drop in China sales, and a 28% decline in Converse sales. The company relies heavily on costly retailer working capital and faces margin risks despite some logistics cost relief. Earnings per share are 25% below expectations, and management forecasts high single-digit revenue declines for the full year. Valuation remains high at 27 times guided EPS, with dividend payouts exceeding 131%, and a $2 billion debt maturity looming, suggesting potential stock price declines to $30 or even $25.

Following the downgrade and bleak outlook for Nike's fiscal 2027, the stock price has fallen sharply. On Pluang, Nike shares trade at USD 32.07, down 9.41% as of Oct 02, 2026 05:31 WIB. Despite the drop, the stock still shows a dividend yield of 4.63%, and Pluang users' order activity leans more towards buying at 61%, compared to 39% selling.

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