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S&P 500 earnings expected to grow nearly 30% in 2026, driven by tech and AI, despite rising bond yields and oil prices.

Company Fundamentals
07 Oct 2026
CNBC
View Source
Bullish
S&P 500 earnings expected to grow nearly 30% in 2026, driven by tech and AI, despite rising bond yields and oil prices.

Analysts forecast nearly 30% year-over-year earnings growth for the S&P 500 in 2026, up from 26.7% earlier this year, fueled largely by strong tech sector gains, especially in AI chipmakers like Nvidia and Micron. Earnings growth is broadening beyond the largest tech firms, with mid- and small-cap stocks also showing healthy profit increases. However, rising bond yields hitting a 24-year high and high oil prices pose risks to further equity gains. The market's breadth is weakening, with many stocks trading below key averages and some sectors seeing downward earnings revisions. For stocks to sustain gains through year-end, major companies must beat estimates, bond yields stabilize, and oil prices drop below $100, potentially aided by geopolitical developments.

As of Oct 08, 2026 01:31 WIB, Nvidia trades just below its 52-week high at USD 236.94 compared to USD 239.27, showing a slight 0.97% decline in one day on Pluang. In contrast, Micron is trading well above its 52-week low of USD 181.60 at USD 1,087.41, with a strong 4.00% gain in the same period. This difference highlights Micron's recent momentum compared to Nvidia's more stable positioning amid the tech sector's broad earnings growth.

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