Four AI models estimate Bitcoin's risk of practical cryptographic break between 34% and 76% over 20 years, mainly due to future quantum computers. The analysis focused on Bitcoin's elliptic-curve signature systems and found near-zero risk in the next two years but rising uncertainty long-term. Quantum computers with enough qubits could break Bitcoin's encryption, prompting calls to adopt new post-quantum cryptography standards released in 2024. Transitioning to these standards may take 10-20 years, highlighting the urgency for Bitcoin and blockchain networks to prepare for future quantum threats.
The story on AI models estimating Bitcoin's 20-year cryptographic-break risk provides context for readers interested in cryptocurrency. For readers following major cryptocurrencies, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026 10:31 WIB: 42 of 50 major cryptocurrencies rose today. Notable movers include SNX at Rp4.520 with a 4.51% increase, GRT at Rp496 with a 3.61% increase, and LINK at Rp238.566 with a 3.30% increase.
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Several AI models estimate a significant risk that Bitcoin's cryptographic signatures could be broken within the next 20 years, with probabilities ranging from 34% to 76%. The primary threat identified is quantum computing, while classical and AI-ass...
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