In 2026, Bitcoin's market capitalization exhibited a record high positive correlation above 0.6 with the 10-year U.S. Treasury real yield, reflecting a stronger link amid elevated borrowing costs and federal debt. Historically, the relationship was limited but has become more aligned in recent years. From August to October 2026, both Bitcoin's value and Treasury yields rose simultaneously, though this does not prove causation. Meanwhile, federal debt reached $40.39 trillion with a $1.992 trillion deficit, highlighting ongoing fiscal pressures that may influence market dynamics going forward.
Bitcoin's correlation with 10-year Treasury real yields is noted here with Pluang market data for context. For readers following cryptocurrency trends, 9 of 50 major cryptos rose while 40 fell on Pluang. Notable movers include GRT at Rp437 with a -4.16% change and 80% buy activity, AAVE at Rp2.782.023 with a -4.11% change and 67% sell activity, and KSM at Rp79.212 with a -3.95% change and 76% buy activity, as of Oct 17, 2026 18:01 WIB.
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