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Gold and Bitcoin face heavy outflows and rising shorts amid stalled U.S.-Iran talks and weak 2026 starts.

Market News
04 Jul 2026
AMBCrypto
View Source
Bearish
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Gold and Bitcoin have experienced significant capital outflows and increased short interest in the first half of 2026, driven by slow progress in U.S.-Iran talks and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. Gold ETFs like GLD and GDX saw short interest spike by 80% and 50%, respectively, while Bitcoin hit a new yearly low of $57.7K before a brief recovery. Institutional investors have been net short on Bitcoin, with U.S. Spot ETFs recording a $5.4 billion net outflow in H1 2026. However, recent weaker U.S. jobs data has eased fears of Fed rate hikes, leading to a small rebound in spot demand for Bitcoin. Analysts caution that confirmation of a sustained recovery depends on upcoming inflation data and the July FOMC meeting. The outlook suggests continued volatility with a potential market bottom for Bitcoin expected in Q4 2026.

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