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iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF faces first bear market, down 28% YTD amid Fed policy impact.

Market News
24 Jun 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Bearish
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The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is experiencing its first significant bear market since going public, with a 28% decline year-to-date and about 40% over the past year, reflecting Bitcoin's drop from $102,000 to around $64,000. The fund closely tracks spot Bitcoin with minimal tracking error and no derivatives to cushion losses, making it a clear indicator of global Bitcoin sentiment. The key factor influencing IBIT's performance is the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, particularly interest rate decisions and liquidity conditions. Institutional concentration in IBIT's holder base adds risk, as large investors can exit quickly, impacting prices. Investors should watch the Fed's policy signals and IBIT's daily flow data to gauge future movements, with a dovish Fed potentially reversing losses and continued hawkishness driving further declines.

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