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October CPI rose 0.4%, higher than expected, signaling Fed may hike rates despite cooling economy.

Market News
11 Nov 2026, 14:16 WIB
Seeking Alpha
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Bullish
October CPI rose 0.4%, higher than expected, signaling Fed may hike rates despite cooling economy.

Consumer prices in October increased by 0.4%, exceeding the expected 0.3%, largely due to delayed effects of September's energy prices on food and transport. The Federal Reserve, with less forward guidance, risks raising interest rates in an economy that is already cooling, which could be a policy mistake. Meanwhile, a less lagging inflation gauge, Truflation, rose sharply in September but has started to decline as oil prices fall. The analyst expects AI-driven productivity gains to push the neutral interest rate to around 3.5%-3.8%, slightly above the Fed's current estimate but below the cycle's peak. Despite these factors, US equities remain attractive at about 18 times forward earnings, supporting a strong buy stance with plans to add on market dips.

The CPI report and Fed policy risks provide context for Pluang's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026 18:11 WIB: Out of 150 US stocks, 88 rose and 60 fell. Notable movers include AMAT at USD 395.15 (+6.07%), TSM at USD 418.13 (+5.46%), and UMC at USD 15.84 (+5.32%). Typical hold times vary from 44 to 114 days, with mixed Pluang order activity percentages.

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