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Bitcoin's 2026 bear-market low came months before U.S. midterms, breaking past patterns of post-election bottoms.

Market News
23 Oct 2026
Coindesk
View Source
Neutral
Bitcoin's 2026 bear-market low came months before U.S. midterms, breaking past patterns of post-election bottoms.

Historically, Bitcoin's major bear-market lows occurred shortly after U.S. midterm elections in 2014, 2018, and 2022. However, in 2026, Bitcoin's lowest price was recorded 125 days before the midterms, at $57,850 on July 1. Since then, it has recovered about 40%, reaching around $81,455 by October 22. This shift suggests Bitcoin's market cycles may be more influential than election timing. Technology stocks have shown less consistent patterns around midterms, reinforcing that Bitcoin's midterm weakness is likely tied to its own cycles rather than the elections themselves. With U.S. midterms just 10 days away, this decoupling could signal a change in Bitcoin's historical price behavior around election periods.

As of Oct 23, 2026 18:03 WIB, Bitcoin trades on Pluang at Rp1.471.741.764 with a slight 1-day decline of 0.46%. Despite the historical pattern of midterm lows, current Pluang data shows a market still holding strong with a market cap of Rp29.666,23 trillion and active trading volume of Rp467,78 trillion. The platform's order activity favors selling at 70%, indicating cautious sentiment ahead of the U.S. midterms, while typical hold time remains at 112 days.

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