Bitcoin has surged about 40% from its July low near $57,700 to trade around $79,000-$81,000 in early September, driven by institutional ETF inflows and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Despite this strong rally—the best August performance since 2017—prediction markets give only a 28% chance that Bitcoin will surpass $100,000 by the end of 2026. Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin with a 56% gain over the same period. The key challenge remains overcoming selling pressure from investors who bought near previous highs, making a $100,000 Bitcoin price a difficult milestone to reach this year.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi show skepticism about Bitcoin reaching $100,000 before 2027. Polymarket assigns only a 27% probability for Bitcoin to hit $100K this year, with a stronger likelihood of a drop toward $80,000. Kalshi’s Oct...
Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi show that Bitcoin is more likely to drop below $80,000 than to rise above $92,500 during October 2026. Polymarket assigns a 54% chance for Bitcoin to touch $80,000, while Kalshi gives a 55% probability for Bit...
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization fell by 2.60% to $2.82 trillion on October 13, even as Bitcoin's price increased slightly by 0.48% to $83,404. This decline reflects ongoing weakness in many major digital assets, with Ether down 0.18%, ...
Bitcoin has twice defended the $81,500 cost basis level associated with U.S. spot ETF investors despite $746 million in recent net outflows from these funds. This level, once resistance, now acts as a key support, indicating institutional investors m...
Legendary investor Paul Tudor Jones warns that 2027 could be very challenging for US stocks due to a surge in new share supply from AI companies like Anthropic and OpenAI. This increase in stock issuance contrasts with previous years where buybacks s...
