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Bank Indonesia likely to hike rates amid MSCI downgrade fears and rupiah pressure

Market News
19 Oct 2026
CNBC
View Source
Bearish
Bank Indonesia likely to hike rates amid MSCI downgrade fears and rupiah pressure

Bank Indonesia faces pressure to raise its benchmark interest rate on Wednesday to stabilize the rupiah after MSCI warned it might downgrade Indonesia's stock market from emerging-market status. This warning triggered a sharp selloff in stocks and the rupiah, which has weakened about 8% this year. Economists are divided on the size of the rate hike, with Citi expecting a 50 basis-point increase to 6.25% and others forecasting a smaller 25 basis-point hike to 6%. The central bank has held rates steady at 5.75% since June but has raised rates by 100 basis points since May. Market experts warn that credible reforms in market governance are needed to address MSCI's concerns and prevent long-term damage to Indonesia's cost of capital and investor confidence.

Bank Indonesia's policy pressure is the subject, with Pluang's Financials sector data providing market context. For readers following Financials, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026 10:51 WIB: out of 142 priced US Financials stocks, 34 rose and 107 fell. Notable movers include GEMI down 8.96%, BTBT down 5.17%, and FIGR down 5.09%.

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