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U.S. Treasury borrows a record $839B in one week, but long bond prices rise unexpectedly.

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31 Oct 2026, 19:13 WIB
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U.S. Treasury borrows a record $839B in one week, but long bond prices rise unexpectedly.

The U.S. Treasury set a record by borrowing $839 billion in a single week from October 26 to 29, 2026, mostly through short-term bills rather than long-term bonds. Despite the large supply, long bond prices rose and yields fell, as only $106 billion was new borrowing and investors favored short-term debt amid potential Fed rate hikes. The upcoming November 4 refunding will be a key test for long bond demand and prices, especially if coupon sizes increase amid ongoing Fed tightening. Investors may watch short-term Treasury ETFs as alternatives with less duration risk if rates rise further.

Long-term Treasury bonds remain supported as the iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) trades at USD 81.84, up 0.43% on the day. Short-term Treasury bills also see steady interest with the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) at USD 100.73, unchanged from its 52-week high. These prices reflect investor preferences on Pluang as of Oct 31, 2026, 23:31 WIB.

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