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Bitcoin ETF flows align more with past returns than predict future price moves, study finds

Market News
23 Oct 2026
Tokenpost
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Neutral
Bitcoin ETF flows align more with past returns than predict future price moves, study finds

A study from January 2024 to October 2026 shows U.S. Bitcoin ETF flows correlate strongly with Bitcoin returns over the previous five trading days, but have little link to future price performance. Large price swings also coincide with ETF inflows during rallies and outflows during sell-offs, indicating co-movement rather than causation. The frequency and depth of Bitcoin drawdowns have decreased somewhat in the ETF era, but this trend began before ETFs launched. The data does not separate retail from institutional investors, and sample sizes for large drops remain small, so conclusions about ETFs causing price stability are limited.

Bitcoin ETF flows and their correlation with past returns provide context for cryptocurrency market activity. For readers following cryptocurrency trends, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026 12:31 WIB: out of 50 major cryptocurrencies, 15 rose and 33 fell today. Notable movers include CAKE (PancakeSwap) at Rp38.381 with a 3.94% decrease and a typical hold time of 75 days, ENJ (Enjin Coin) at Rp483 down 3.50% with 90% sell order activity, and ATOM (Cosmos) at Rp32.300 up 3.50% with 90% sell order activity.

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