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AppLovin's e-commerce ad share to rise to 8.1% in Q4, Jefferies says, despite revenue forecast cut.

Market News
08 Oct 2026
Proactive Investors
View Source
Bullish
AppLovin's e-commerce ad share to rise to 8.1% in Q4, Jefferies says, despite revenue forecast cut.

Jefferies projects AppLovin's share of e-commerce advertising budgets will increase to 8.1% in Q4 2026, up from 6.7% a year earlier, maintaining its third-place ranking behind Meta and Google. Advertisers are shifting more budget to AppLovin, expecting 8.3% allocation in 2027. Despite this positive trend and growing advertiser adoption, Jefferies lowered its 2027 revenue forecast by 5% to $10.1 billion and cut its price target to $375, citing muted expectations for new-customer growth. The holiday quarter and improved prospecting campaigns support AppLovin's ad performance outlook.

AppLovin shares trade at USD 279.50 on Pluang as of Oct 09, 2026 03:11 WIB, down 0.64% in the past day. Despite Jefferies' forecast of rising e-commerce ad share to 8.1% in Q4 2026, the stock remains far below its 52-week high of USD 733.60. Market activity shows a heavier sell sentiment with 59% of orders being sell compared to 41% buy, reflecting cautious investor behavior amid mixed growth expectations.

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