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Applied Optoelectronics stock fell 50% but analysts predict it could nearly triple on strong demand.

Analyst Insights
21 Oct 2026
24/7 Wall Street
View Source
Bullish
Applied Optoelectronics stock fell 50% but analysts predict it could nearly triple on strong demand.

Applied Optoelectronics' stock dropped over 50% in six months despite record revenue growth driven by AI data center demand. Two Wall Street analysts see the stock potentially tripling from its current price, citing strong customer demand exceeding supply and a major shipment of 1.6T units expected in Q4. However, risks remain from customer concentration, supply chain issues, and recent earnings cuts. The stock's future hinges on successful execution of upcoming shipments and margin improvements.

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) trades at USD 77.56 on Pluang as of Oct 22, 2026 00:02 WIB, showing a modest 1.07% gain for the day. Despite the stock's sharp drop over six months, Pluang investors currently lean bullish with 70% buy orders. The stock remains far below its 52-week high of USD 223.10, reflecting ongoing market caution amid the company's operational risks.

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