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Applied Digital shows strong growth potential with $85.66B HPC backlog and discounted valuation, but risks remain.

Analyst Insights
01 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
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Applied Digital is positioned for significant growth with a 15-year take-or-pay contract backlog and expanded opportunities valued up to $85.66 billion in high-performance computing (HPC). The company’s capacity is expected to grow from 100 MW in late 2026 to a backlog of 1,410 MW by 2028, highlighting rapid expansion. Despite a recent stock price drop, its FY2029 EV/Sales ratio of 4.75x is attractive compared to major hyperscalers. However, risks such as high short interest, negative free cash flow, increasing net debt, and ongoing equity dilution make it suitable mainly for long-term, contrarian investors. The stock is initiated as a buy due to oversold technicals and potential bottoming based on historical trends.

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