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Applied Digital upgraded to Hold as contract revenue hits $36B, but execution risks remain high.

Analyst Insights
02 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
Applied Digital upgraded to Hold as contract revenue hits $36B, but execution risks remain high.

Applied Digital Corporation has been upgraded to Hold following improvements in operating metrics and contract diversification. The company's contracted lease revenue surged to $36 billion, although CoreWeave's share decreased to 30%. Live high-performance computing (HPC) capacity has reached 250 MW. Management has advanced its $1 billion net operating income (NOI) target to next year, but achieving this goal depends on flawless execution and rapid capacity expansion. The stock trades at 10–12 times contracted NOI, reflecting a significant risk premium compared to private market multiples of 20–25 times.

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) trades at USD 25.45 on Pluang, up 5.34% as of Oct 03, 2026 05:02 WIB. The stock shows a market cap of $7.23 billion and a 69% sell order activity. Despite recent upgrades, typical hold time remains 23 days, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.

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