Investment
Features
FeesSafety
Academy
More
Pluang+

Bitcoin's historic 4-year cycle may be compressing, not broken, as price hits new highs before halving.

Market News
13 Sep 2026
Blockonomi
View Source
Neutral
Bitcoin's historic 4-year cycle may be compressing, not broken, as price hits new highs before halving.

Bitcoin's traditional four-year cycle, where price bottoms occur 770-900 days after halvings, is showing signs of change. This cycle, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high before the halving, diverging from past patterns. Institutional inflows via spot ETFs and larger market capitalization have shifted Bitcoin's price dynamics, making it more tied to macroeconomic liquidity than halving supply shocks. Some analysts suggest the cycle is compressing, with bottoms and tops occurring closer together, potentially altering future timing rather than ending the cycle altogether. Investors are now watching macro indicators and upcoming months to see if this new pattern holds.

More News (BTC)

Bitcoin risks crashing to $10K as it increasingly mirrors volatile U.S. stocks amid Fed tightening fears.

Bitcoin risks crashing to $10K as it increasingly mirrors volatile U.S. stocks amid Fed tightening fears.

Bitcoin is losing its status as independent 'digital gold' and is now closely tracking the U.S. stock market, particularly the S&P 500. This growing correlation raises concerns that Bitcoin could face a sharp decline if U.S. equities correct, especia...

Market News
Bearish
4 hours ago
Crypto sees memecoin-stock pairing, $245M heist, and Iran's Bitcoin trade use in a volatile week

Crypto sees memecoin-stock pairing, $245M heist, and Iran's Bitcoin trade use in a volatile week

This week in crypto, Pump.fun introduced a new trading model pairing memecoins with tokenized stocks on Solana, expanding crypto's reach. Hunter Biden's LAPTOP memecoin crashed 98% shortly after launch, highlighting market volatility. The Liquid netw...

Market News
Bearish
8 hours ago
Bitcoin could drop to $10K if S&P 500 falls 20%, warns Bloomberg strategist amid rate hike fears.

Bitcoin could drop to $10K if S&P 500 falls 20%, warns Bloomberg strategist amid rate hike fears.

Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, warned that Bitcoin's price might fall significantly to $10,000 if the S&P 500 index drops by 20%. He cited the resistance at $80,000 for Bitcoin, expected Federal Reserve interest ...

Market News
Bearish
9 hours ago
Bitcoin nears $81,700 but falls short of bull market confirmation as whales sell and US institutions stay out.

Bitcoin nears $81,700 but falls short of bull market confirmation as whales sell and US institutions stay out.

Bitcoin is trading around $76,808, about $4,900 below the $81,700 level needed to confirm a new bull market according to CryptoQuant. Large Bitcoin holders (whales) have been selling into the recent two-week rally, while retail investors bought on le...

Analyst Insights
Neutral
9 hours ago
XRP could outperform Ethereum by 306% based on technical analysis of XRP/ETH ratio.

XRP could outperform Ethereum by 306% based on technical analysis of XRP/ETH ratio.

Crypto analyst Dark Defender projects that XRP could significantly outperform Ethereum, with the XRP/ETH ratio potentially rising about 306% from its current level. This forecast is based on an Elliott Wave technical pattern targeting a fifth-wave ex...

Analyst Insights
Bullish
10 hours ago
banner-footerbanner-footer

Invest & Trade with
#1 Award-Winning Investment Super App