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Amazon undervalued by 25% but AI spending and macro risks delay buying enthusiasm

Analyst Insights
30 Oct 2026, 23:56 WIB
Seeking Alpha
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Neutral
Amazon undervalued by 25% but AI spending and macro risks delay buying enthusiasm

Amazon.com, Inc. is currently undervalued by about 25% based on discounted earnings, indicating potential for long-term gains. However, heavy investment in AI infrastructure has caused free cash flow to turn deeply negative and shifted the company from net cash to net debt, raising concerns about its balance sheet. Management remains optimistic, forecasting over 40% growth for AWS in 2027 and 2028, which supports future earnings despite near-term cash flow challenges. Given current macroeconomic uncertainties and valuation issues in the market, the stock is rated a cautious Buy but is not included in the portfolio at this time.

Despite the cautious stance on Amazon's stock, it remains actively traded on Pluang where it is priced at USD 240.29 as of Oct 31, 2026 04:02 WIB. The stock has seen a 1-day decline of 1.44%, with a market capitalization of $2.64 trillion. Investor interest leans toward buying, with 66% of orders on Pluang being buys and a typical hold time of 128 days.

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