What Does Probability Mean on a Technical Signal?
Probability on a Pluang Technical Signal is the provider's estimate of how likely the price is to reach the Target Price, based on how similar patterns behaved in the past. It is an estimate, not a promise.
Reading Probability together with the other numbers
The figures below are an example only, not a real signal.
| Field | Example | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|
| Entry Price | 100 | The price level the signal starts from |
| Target Price | 110 | Where the pattern points if it plays out: a possible gain of 10 |
| Stop Loss | 95 | Where the pattern is considered broken: a possible loss of 5 |
| Probability | 70% | The provider's estimate that the price reaches 110 within the Target Period |
| Risk-reward | 2 | (Target − Entry) ÷ (Entry − Stop Loss) = 10 ÷ 5. You calculate this yourself |
Probability comes from how similar patterns played out before. It does not know about news, your entry timing, or the fees you pay, and the price can reach the Stop Loss before it ever reaches the Target Price. Use it alongside the risk-reward and the Target Period, and only put in an amount you are prepared to lose.
In the app, tap Probability on a signal to read its explanation. The signals and their probabilities come from a third-party technical-analysis provider, not from Pluang's research team.
Learn more: what Technical Signals are and how to read one and Expert Signals, Technical Signals and Analyst Ratings compared.
Related questions:
Q: Does a 70% Probability mean 7 out of 10 of my trades will win?
No. It is an estimate based on past patterns, not a forecast of your own results. Any single trade can miss the Target Price.
Q: Is a signal with a higher Probability always the better choice?
Not on its own. Compare it with the risk-reward, the Target Period and your own view of the asset.
Q: Who calculates the Probability?
The third-party technical-analysis provider that generates the signals. Pluang's research team does not set it.
Q: Where can I read what Probability means in the app?
Tap the Probability label on the signal card or detail page to open its explanation.
Last updated: 9 November 2026