Union Pacific Corporation vs Vale SA — how do they compare? Union Pacific Corporation trades at $285.05 (market cap $171.36B), while Vale SA trades at $15.42 (market cap $65.56B). The key difference: Union Pacific Corporation is far larger — about 2.6× Vale SA's market cap, and Vale SA pays the higher dividend (7.65%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| UNP | VALE | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $171.36B | $65.56B |
Sector | Industrials | Basic Materials |
52-Week High | $310.62 | $17.82 |
52-Week Low | $214.91 | $10.50 |
Enterprise Value | $200.42B | $81.80B |
Dividend Yield | 1.97% | 7.65% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Union Pacific (UNP) trades at $288.45, down 0.4% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but strong fundamentals including a 28.85% net income margin and robust cash flow. Recent earnings beats in Q1 and Q2 2026, coupled with a pending Norfolk Southern merger expected to close by late 2027, highlight growth potential. The stock is supported by a consensus analyst price target of $334.33, indicating 16% upside.
The outlook is positive due to solid profitability and merger prospects, but risks include regulatory hurdles for the merger and economic sensitivity. Analysts are predominantly bullish (58.7% buy ratings), though technical indicators suggest near-term caution with support at $287.
VALE trades at $15.56, up 1.9% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and a consensus price target of $16.79. Recent earnings missed estimates for Q4 2025 and Q1-Q2 2026, with net income margin declining to 5.11% in 2025. The company maintains strong operating cash flow of $8.80B and announced a $0.40 dividend for H2 2026. Iron ore demand remains stable per the CFO, while base metals growth offsets cost pressures.
VALE presents a mixed outlook: bullish technicals and analyst support contrast with earnings misses and margin compression. The stock offers value near consensus targets with dividend income, but faces risks from rising costs, volatile commodity prices, and legal liabilities from past dam incidents. Upside depends on execution in copper growth and cost control.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two thirds of the U.S., UP generated roughly $22 billion of revenue in 2021 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agriculture goods, chemicals, and automotive goods. UP owns about one fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and derives about 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.
Read more on UNP →Vale is the world's largest iron ore miner and one of the largest diversified miners, along with BHP and Rio Tinto. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets, with minor contributions from iron ore proxies, including manganese and coal. The base metals division is much smaller, primarily consisting of nickel mines and smelters with a small contribution from copper.
Read more on VALE →