Ulta Beauty Inc vs State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF — how do they compare? Ulta Beauty Inc trades at $542.26 (market cap $24.12B), while State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF trades at $84.3. The key difference: State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF is trading nearer its 52-week high, Ulta Beauty Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| ULTA | XRT | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $24.12B | — |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Broad Market / Factor |
52-Week High | $706.82 | $92.35 |
52-Week Low | $450.75 | $77.28 |
Enterprise Value | $26.43B | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
ULTA Beauty trades at $549.23, down 2.64% today, amid mixed signals. The stock shows a bullish technical trend with strong moving averages, while fundamentals reveal steady revenue growth to $11.30B in 2025, though net income margin has softened to 9.34%. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations, and the company raised full-year guidance, yet some segments like cosmetics showed flat performance.
The outlook is cautiously optimistic, with a consensus price target of $653.14 implying significant upside. Key opportunities include digital growth and AI integration potential, but risks involve competitive pressures and reliance on discretionary consumer spending. Analyst sentiment remains predominantly bullish, supporting a favorable risk-reward profile for long-term investors.
XRT (SPDR S&P Retail ETF) trades at $85.70, down 2.16% amid bearish technical signals, with moving averages indicating a downtrend and RSI levels in neutral territory. Recent news highlights unusual options activity with a 145% surge in put volume (Defense World, 2026-09-09) and mixed retail sector data, including a 0.6% drop in July sales (ETF Trends, 2026-08-14). The ETF offers exposure to consumer discretionary retail, with a dividend scheduled for June 2026.
Outlook is cautious due to technical weakness and sector headwinds like inflation and shifting consumer spending. Risks include economic sensitivity and competitive pressures, but potential exists if retail resilience improves. Investors should weigh bearish signals against long-term value opportunities in selective retail segments.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
With more than 1,300 stores and a partnership with Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (43% of 2021 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (20% of 2021 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Read more on ULTA →XRT is an equal-weighted ETF that tracks the U.S. retail sector. It provides diversified exposure to apparel, automotive, and online retailers, including well-known names like Amazon, Target, and Costco.
Read more on XRT →