Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.16, while Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund trades at $65.59. The key difference: Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | XLE | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | — |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $65.31 |
52-Week Low | $29.83 | $42.61 |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, a leveraged ETF tracking long-term Treasury bonds, trades at $30.85, down 0.13% for the day, with a bearish technical signal driven by moving averages. The stock faces significant long-term erosion, as highlighted by a recent article showing a $10,000 investment five years ago would now be worth about $1,527. Key support lies at $30, with resistance at $31.
The outlook remains challenged by interest rate sensitivity and leverage decay, posing risks for investors seeking Treasury exposure. Opportunities may arise from potential Federal Reserve policy shifts, but volatility and structural ETF risks demand caution.
XLE trades at $64.78, up 1.12% with strong bullish technical signals from moving averages. The ETF benefits from oil price strength above $100/barrel and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Recent performance shows XLE gained 7.4% in August, leading sector ETFs. Technical indicators show RSI at 78.15 suggests overbought conditions while ADX indicates strong trend momentum.
Outlook remains positive given energy sector tailwinds from supply constraints and winter demand, though elevated oil prices create both opportunity and volatility risk. The ETF's concentrated holdings in major energy companies provide leveraged exposure to crude price movements, with valuations reflecting long-term oil prices below current spot levels.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as energy companies by the GICS®, including securities of companies from the following industries: oil, gas and consumable fuels; and energy equipment and services. It is non-diversified.
Read more on XLE →