Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs Ulta Beauty Inc — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $32.27, while Ulta Beauty Inc trades at $489.47 (market cap $20.98B). The key difference: Ulta Beauty Inc is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | ULTA | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | Consumer Cyclical |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $706.82 |
52-Week Low | $31.85 | $450.75 |
Market Cap | — | $20.98B |
Enterprise Value | — | $23.06B |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $32.66, down 2.07% daily. Technical indicators are bearish overall, with moving averages signaling strong selling pressure, though oscillators are neutral and short-term RSI levels suggest potential oversold conditions. The fund provides 3x daily leveraged exposure to long-term U.S. Treasuries, making it highly sensitive to interest rate movements and unsuitable for long-term holding due to daily leverage reset mechanics.
The outlook for TMF hinges entirely on the direction of long-term bond yields, with potential for sharp gains if rates fall but severe losses if they rise. It represents a high-risk, tactical instrument for short-term traders speculating on Treasury price movements, not a fundamental equity investment. Key risks include volatility decay from daily resets and macroeconomic shifts in monetary policy.
ULTA Beauty trades at $489.47, up 2.06% with a bullish technical signal despite mixed moving averages. The company maintains strong profitability with 39.33% gross margins and 47.45% ROE, though net margins have declined from 12.17% in 2023 to 10.63% in 2025. Recent Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations at $7.74 EPS versus $6.89 expected, while Q4 2025 missed. Analyst consensus remains strongly positive with 26 buy ratings and a $618.29 price target, representing 26% upside potential.
ULTA presents a compelling growth story with international expansion and digital engagement driving long-term potential. However, investors face risks from margin compression, competitive pressures in beauty retail, and volatile cash flow patterns. The stock's current valuation at 18.29x P/E appears reasonable given growth prospects, but requires monitoring of consumer spending trends and execution on strategic initiatives.
Trailing returns across standard periods
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →With more than 1,300 stores and a partnership with Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (43% of 2021 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (20% of 2021 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Read more on ULTA →