Harley-Davidson Inc vs Union Pacific Corporation — how do they compare? Harley-Davidson Inc trades at $28.11 (market cap $2.93B), while Union Pacific Corporation trades at $295.25 (market cap $175.89B). The key difference: Union Pacific Corporation is far larger — about 60× Harley-Davidson Inc's market cap, and Harley-Davidson Inc pays the higher dividend (2.64%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| HOG | UNP | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.93B | $175.89B |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Industrials |
52-Week High | $31.03 | $301.75 |
52-Week Low | $17.19 | $214.91 |
Enterprise Value | $3.32B | $206.36B |
Dividend Yield | 2.64% | 1.86% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Harley-Davidson (HOG) trades at $27.85, up 4.78% today, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and a neutral RSI near 69. Recent earnings show mixed results, with Q1 2026 missing estimates, while revenue has declined from $5.8B in 2022 to $4.5B in 2025. The company is executing a turnaround strategy, including cost cuts and bringing Revolution Max engine production back to the U.S., amid positive retail sales growth in Q1 2026.
The outlook is cautious; while valuation ratios like P/E of 13.77 and P/B of 0.91 appear attractive, declining revenue and net income margins pose risks. Analyst consensus is mostly Hold (65.71%), with a price target of $23.40 below the current price, indicating skepticism about near-term growth despite operational initiatives.
Union Pacific (UNP) trades at $296.00, down 1.91% amid mixed technical signals. The stock shows strong fundamentals with 29.2% net margins and 40.69% ROE, while Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations. Analysts maintain a bullish consensus with a $311.07 price target. Recent news highlights the Norfolk Southern merger progress and upcoming Q2 earnings, with institutional buying supporting positive sentiment despite regulatory and legal overhangs.
Outlook remains positive given earnings momentum and operational efficiency, but risks include merger regulatory scrutiny, pending class action litigation, and cyclical freight demand. The stock offers value near consensus targets with dividend growth, though investors should weigh execution risks against solid profitability trends.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, but a level it is working back toward. In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.
Read more on HOG →Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two thirds of the U.S., UP generated roughly $22 billion of revenue in 2021 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agriculture goods, chemicals, and automotive goods. UP owns about one fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and derives about 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.
Read more on UNP →