Harley-Davidson Inc vs CarMax, Inc — how do they compare? Harley-Davidson Inc trades at $28.08 (market cap $2.93B), while CarMax, Inc trades at $57.84 (market cap $7.93B). The key difference: CarMax, Inc is far larger — about 2.7× Harley-Davidson Inc's market cap, and Harley-Davidson Inc pays a 2.64% dividend while CarMax, Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| HOG | KMX | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.93B | $7.93B |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
52-Week High | $31.03 | $63.53 |
52-Week Low | $17.19 | $30.88 |
Enterprise Value | $3.32B | $26.44B |
Dividend Yield | 2.64% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Harley-Davidson (HOG) trades at $27.85, up 4.78% today, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and a neutral RSI near 69. Recent earnings show mixed results, with Q1 2026 missing estimates, while revenue has declined from $5.8B in 2022 to $4.5B in 2025. The company is executing a turnaround strategy, including cost cuts and bringing Revolution Max engine production back to the U.S., amid positive retail sales growth in Q1 2026.
The outlook is cautious; while valuation ratios like P/E of 13.77 and P/B of 0.91 appear attractive, declining revenue and net income margins pose risks. Analyst consensus is mostly Hold (65.71%), with a price target of $23.40 below the current price, indicating skepticism about near-term growth despite operational initiatives.
CarMax (KMX) trades at $55.89, down 2.51% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages but a neutral stance from oscillators. The company reported mixed earnings, with a Q2 2025 miss but subsequent beats in Q3 2025 and Q1 2026. Revenue has trended down from $31.9B in 2022 to $26.35B in 2025, though net income margin improved slightly to 1.89%. Recent news highlights a strategic turnaround under new CEO Keith Barr, with insider buying and positive analyst updates despite an ongoing legal investigation.
The outlook for KMX hinges on successful execution of its four-pillar strategy to boost volume and efficiency, offering potential upside if targets are met. However, high debt levels, margin pressure, and legal scrutiny pose significant risks. Analyst consensus is cautious with a hold-heavy rating and a price target of $48.91 below the current price, indicating skepticism about near-term growth.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, but a level it is working back toward. In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.
Read more on HOG →CarMax sells, finances, and services used and new cars through a chain of over 230 used retail stores. It was formed in 1993 as a unit of Circuit City and spun off into an independent company in late 2002. Used-vehicle sales typically account for about 83% of revenue and wholesale about 13%, with the remaining portion composed of extended service plans and repair. In fiscal 2022, the company retailed and wholesaled 924,338 and 706,212 used vehicles, respectively. CarMax is the largest used-vehicle retailer in the U.S. but still estimates that it has only about 4% U.S. market share of vehicles 0-10 years old in 2021. It seeks over 5% share by the end of calendar 2025 and revenue between $33 billion to $45 billion by fiscal 2026. CarMax is based in Richmond, Virginia.
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