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70% of Polymarket's closed markets had under $10K volume, dominated by bots, raising volatility and cost concerns.

Market News
02 Jul 2026
CNBC
View Source
Neutral
pluang ai news

A CNBC analysis reveals that about 70% of closed markets on prediction platform Polymarket recorded less than $10,000 in trading volume from 2021 to May 2026, with many dominated by trading bots. Low-volume markets tend to be more volatile and costly for traders due to wider spreads and price swings, making them less attractive to experienced traders. While bots profit across all market sizes, they prefer higher-volume markets for better returns. Experts debate the accuracy of thin markets, but agree skilled traders influence reliability more than volume alone. Despite many shallow markets, larger, liquid markets are expected to grow, with traders advised to be cautious of risks.

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