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MercadoLibre drops 8% post-Lula win but stays a strong buy with solid growth and risks ahead.

Analyst Insights
28 Oct 2026, 13:05 WIB
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
MercadoLibre drops 8% post-Lula win but stays a strong buy with solid growth and risks ahead.

MercadoLibre's stock fell nearly 8% following Lula da Silva's surprise election win in Brazil, reflecting political uncertainty. Despite this, the company remains a strong buy due to its solid fundamentals, with nearly half of its revenue generated outside Brazil. Q2 revenue rose 50% year-over-year, though operating margins declined to 6.7% as the company reinvests for growth. Key risks include potential fintech taxes, rising funding costs, and credit quality concerns as MercadoLibre expands its credit portfolio under Lula's administration. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 43.5x and 2.1x sales, with long-term upside dependent on margin recovery and sustained double-digit growth.

Following the political developments in Brazil mentioned in the news, MercadoLibre's stock shows only a slight decline on Pluang, down 0.08% as of Oct 28, 2026, 17:21 WIB. The stock trades at USD 1,679.17 with a market cap of $85.20 billion. Despite recent volatility, Pluang investors hold the stock for an average of 119 days, with 80% of order activity being buys, indicating continued confidence.

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