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S&P 500 ends June slightly down, with cautious outlook for Q3 and possible drop below 7000 later this year

Technical Signals
05 Jul 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
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The S&P 500 closed June down 1.06%, maintaining a bullish quarterly pattern but showing signs of consolidation and potential reversal risk. Analyst Andrew McElroy remains skeptical about a sustained breakout above 7620 in Q3, expecting the index to eventually roll over and possibly break below 7000 later this year. Short-term market moves are volatile due to failed breakouts and traps, with sharp shifts likely when one side becomes overconfident. McElroy advises a cautious, short-term focused approach while staying underweight in long-term holdings until clearer trends emerge.

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