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Betting markets and analysts see a strong chance Tesla and SpaceX will merge by 2027.

Market News
27 May 2026
Forbes
View Source
Bullish
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Elon Musk has reportedly discussed merging Tesla and SpaceX, with analysts and betting markets assigning high odds to a merger by 2027. WedBush Securities estimates an 80% or higher chance, citing groundwork already in place. SpaceX's upcoming IPO, targeting a valuation up to $2 trillion, could accelerate this move, potentially making Musk the first trillionaire. The merger could unify Musk's ventures, especially as SpaceX already buys Tesla products for its operations. Market watchers will closely follow SpaceX's Nasdaq debut, expected as early as June 12, 2026.

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Polymarket odds for Tesla-SpaceX merger drop despite analyst confidence in deal.

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Traders on Polymarket have significantly reduced their bets on a Tesla-SpaceX merger announcement this year, with the chance of a deal by September 30 now at 11%, down 28 points, and by December 31 at 24%, down 19 points. This decline contrasts with ...

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