The recent selloff in the bond market, especially in short-term bonds, is considered excessive given limited term premium and expectations of three 25 basis point rate hikes by 2027. Despite higher nominal growth, persistent inflation, and the Fed's hawkish stance pushing real yields near 3%, long-term yields remain close to historical averages. Corporate bonds may face losses if AI-driven or economic slowdowns occur, with credit spreads still low. For cautious investors, holding government bonds with yields above 5% to maturity could be a safer strategy amid recession concerns over the next five years.
The iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) holds a market cap of $48.44 billion and sees a daily trading volume of 26,415,928 shares on Pluang as of Oct 10, 2026, 23:51 WIB. Despite the article's focus on bond market selloffs and yield comparisons, TLT's price edged up slightly by 0.14% on the day. Pluang investors typically hold this ETF for about 83 days, with recent order activity showing a slight tilt towards selling at 56%.
In a record-setting auction on October 7, 2026, foreign buyers (indirect bidders) purchased 80.34% of $39 billion in 10-year U.S. Treasury notes, while primary dealers took only 2.54%, the lowest ever. The notes cleared at a yield of 5.300%, near a 2...
Options trading in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) surged with heavy call buying, signaling some traders expect a bottom in the recent U.S. Treasury bond sell-off. A notable buyer purchased large volumes of calls expiring in October, ant...
At its September meeting, the Federal Reserve unanimously voted to raise interest rates by 0.25%, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. Most Fed officials now expect at least one more rate hike before the end of 2026, influenced by strong AI-driv...
Market odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October fell from 51% to 19% within a week, driven by weaker-than-expected September jobs data showing slower payroll growth and a slight rise in unemployment. Fed officials indicated no urgent need for ...
The surge in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields has made dividend stocks less attractive, causing declines in sectors like real estate, utilities, and materials that many seniors rely on for income. Experts advise against abandoning dividend stocks or chas...
